Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.291162 2.634510 3.015531 3.470359 3.999384 4.596332 5.322440
2025-05-11 1.750747 2.201956 2.752616 3.476998 4.409162 5.574151 7.149551
2025-05-18 1.458777 1.948329 2.585291 3.480527 4.715588 6.372892 8.787821
2025-05-25 1.225720 1.717027 2.389744 3.386892 4.842336 6.912153 10.119723
2025-06-01 1.095243 1.599398 2.321225 3.442510 5.163058 7.740120 11.961409
2025-06-08 0.997351 1.511333 2.277141 3.517876 5.509660 8.636940 14.026198
2025-06-15 0.901906 1.412516 2.200875 3.527380 5.745539 9.380606 15.942632
2025-06-22 0.804546 1.297718 2.083837 3.452397 5.826946 9.872804 17.493343
2025-06-29 0.728121 1.207120 1.993721 3.407562 5.947468 10.437489 19.243562
2025-07-06 0.657880 1.118598 1.896267 3.336065 6.007716 10.896214 20.855343
2025-07-13 0.637123 1.112104 1.937102 3.512507 6.536739 12.274901 24.445286
2025-07-20 0.595221 1.063550 1.898041 3.536401 6.779133 13.137186 27.125135
2025-07-27 0.563440 1.035360 1.902423 3.662614 7.277809 14.654713 31.626981
2025-08-03 0.517887 0.977602 1.847540 3.671613 7.555142 15.794380 35.602521
2025-08-10 0.477591 0.924657 1.794545 3.675271 7.818775 16.943176 39.826715
2025-08-17 0.431427 0.854587 1.698957 3.576026 7.842499 17.563669 42.911832
2025-08-24 0.406079 0.823563 1.678572 3.634976 8.228634 19.075531 48.541510
2025-08-31 0.385083 0.799033 1.668515 3.714864 8.675055 20.805782 55.121580
2025-09-07 0.360230 0.763424 1.630384 3.724939 8.955014 22.173506 61.021319
2025-09-14 0.330945 0.714941 1.558399 3.645457 9.000482 22.950291 65.419001
2025-09-21 0.306945 0.675675 1.502724 3.597934 9.120354 23.944369 70.689451
2025-09-28 0.283351 0.634875 1.439038 3.522157 9.154595 24.712228 75.449348
2025-10-05 0.278561 0.637180 1.476737 3.709173 9.929552 27.701838 88.026603